The Singapore Dollar/Philippine Peso currency pair (also referred to as SGDPHP and SGD/PHP) is an exotic currency pair. In this article, we will examine how SGDPHP is performing.
SGDPHP Key Stats
- 2021 high: 38.041
- 2021 low: 35.690
- 2022 high: 41.984
- 2022 low: 37.476
- 2022 % change: 9.8%
SGDPHP Forecast
The Singaporean dollar is a currency considered a safe haven, similar to the Japanese yen (previously) and the US dollar. As a result, it has performed positively throughout 2022. Given the recent macroeconomic headwinds are expected to persist, and the current momentum is to the upside, we are bullish on the pair in the near term. It bounced nicely following a pullback in late November/December and is once again looking to test its recent highs. We expect a break and push above over the next month. However, if the price once again breaks and closes below the 100 MA, we will reconsider our current bullish stance on the pair and potentially look for a pullback toward the 200 MA.
SGDPHP Fundamental Analysis
Singapore has a growing financial centre and its house prices are resilient, making it a preferred choice during times of economic upheaval. The country’s strong growth rate is due to the fact it has an extremely business-friendly regulatory environment for entrepreneurs. Meanwhile, it is also a major trading hub, with its manufacturing and services sector remaining one of its key growth drivers. As a result, the Singapore dollar has performed well in times of increased economic and market risk, with investors using it as a safe haven against more risk-associated currencies.
Like most other currencies, the price of the PHP is impacted by the current economic situation in the Philippines and the actions of its central bank. However, it can be difficult to predict the direction of the currency pair. For example, the Covid-19 lockdown in the country meant many would have expected the currency to decline, but as its imports fell more than its exports, it actually rose against the safe haven of the US dollar. However, like most currencies, uncertainty will always result in a fall, and 2021 and 2022 brought about a slide in the Philippine peso, which we expect to continue this year.
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- Forex Charts
SGDPHP Technical Analysis
As mentioned previously, the 100 MA on the daily chart acted as a solid support level for the SGDPHP, which has since bounced from that area. It is currently trading around the critical 41.60 level, and a close above would represent a continuation of the current bullish move. Additionally, both the 100 and 200 MA have acted as solid support levels in the past, and any pullbacks to those areas, while the macroeconomic environment is uncertain, could result in a bounce.
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